there are other taxes put in place and the debt ceiling will be dealt with. that will be a big battle between entitlement cuts and raising the debt ceiling. i think all these issues will bear on the market when people are very enthusiastic about it. i think this market is vulnerable. >> interesting to date, with all the noise in the market, stocks have been able to put on pretty good ear plugs. >> that's often the case. you've been around long enough. sometimes the market sloughs off bad news until it doesn't. >> that's for sure. >> how about your earnings forecast? 100 bucks, less than many people on the street are expecting. how does that mesh with the fact you're coming off a pretty good earnings season. expectations have come down but two-thirds of the companies have beaten. >> two-thirds of companies have beaten but you look at a chart of expectations, they're coming down. earnings expectations are rolling over and performance is coming down. the s&p has been able to earn $25 or better a quarter. i think we will see quarters $23. i don't think the market